Thursday, 25 April 2013

Newcastle United V Liverpool (27/04/13)

My Tips For The Toon V Liverpool

With four matches to go we currently have a six point cushion over third bottom Wigan (who have a game in hand), and with Villa three points below us and Stoke and the mackems level with us on points, three points against Liverpool would go a long way towards guaranteeing our Premier League status next season.

Here are my optimistic bets this week...

Toon Tips:

Match Result: 
30 points on Newcastle at 2.88
The bookies make Liverpool the slight favourites but their recent form has been average with three consecutive draws against Chelsea, Reading and West Ham.  They'll also be without Suarez who starts his ten match ban (even if Suarez decides to appeal, the automatic three match ban for violent conduct - which he's admitted - would start immediately), so it could possibly be a decent time to play Liverpool right now.  Until the mackem match our home league form was excellent, with four consecutive home wins in the league, so hopefully the derby match was just a blip.

All things considered I'm going to go for an optmistic bet on a Toon win and then back this up with a smaller more cautious bet on us in the Double Chance market.

Double Chance: 
20 points on Newcastle Or Draw at 1.53

To Score In 90 Minutes:
10 points on Papiss Cisse at 3.0
10 points on Yoan Gouffran at 4.0
Cisse has been playing through the pain barrier recently with a rib injury but he's still been our most prolific goalscorer.  A trip to Paris to see a specialist will reveal if he'll miss our run in, so to cover the possibility of a void bet I'm also going to go for a small bet on Gouffran who would be the most likely option to play through the middle in Cisse's absence.

(Update: Pardew has since refuted the story in Tuesday's Chronicle regarding Cisse's rib injury and said, “I don’t know where that rumour came from, he has trained all week and he has trained well all week.”)

To Win Either Half:
20 points on Newcastle To Win Either Half at 1.8

First Team To Score:
10 points on Newcastle at 1.91

General football tips:

Wigan V Tottenham - Match Result: 
25 points on Tottenham at 2.0

Arsenal V Man United - Match Result:
15 points on Man United at 3.25

Southampton V West Brom - Half Time Result:
25 points on Southampton at 2.38

Leicester V Watford - Match Result:
15 points on Watford at 3.75

Middlesboro V Charlton - Match Result:
20 points on Charlton at 3.1

As usual I'll report back after the weekend on how my tips performed.

Footnote:  A small bet can make the match more exciting but gambling can be a risky business so never bet more than you can afford to lose.  The safest way to bet is with a free bet, so if you'd like the chance to claim a totally free £10 bet then sign up to SkyBet today using the banner link below:

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All odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

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