Friday 30 November 2012

Newcastle United V Wigan Athletic (03/12/12)

My Tips For The Toon V Wigan


Every match I give myself 100 points to place a few hypothetical bets on Newcastle and 100 points to place a few general football bets using the odds available from SkyBet.com.  I then compare how the two sets of bets perform and analyse whether it's better to bet with your heart or your head.

My general football tips are on a run of six consecutive profitable weeks and have therefore been outperforming my Newcastle tips in recent weeks.  Here are my Toon tips for our match against Wigan... 

Match Result: 
20 points on Draw at 3.4
Our defeat against Stoke took our run to four consecutive league defeats, but on the positive side Wigan haven't fared much better recently with three defeats from their last four league games.  I've maybe been overly optimistic in recent weeks though, so I'm going to approach this one with a degree of caution and go for the draw at odds of 3.4.

Both Teams To Score:
40 points on Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.73
We've now conceded in our last 9 league matches and Wigan have a similarly poor record having conceded in 12 of their 14 league games this season.  A bet on both teams to score therefore seems worth a punt at odds of 1.73.

Thursday 29 November 2012

Stoke V The Toon: Tips Round-Up

My Tips For Stoke City V Newcastle United: Round-Up


Every match I give myself 100 points to place a few hypothetical bets on Newcastle and 100 points to place a few general football bets using the odds available from SkyBet.com.  I then compare how the two sets of bets perform and analyse whether it's better to bet with your heart or your head.

I remember a few weeks ago looking at the fixture list with my mate and commenting that the next six league games were all potentially winnable games.  Four games into that run and unfortunately it hasn't turned out like we were hoping which has meant another wash-out for my Newcastle tips.  My general football tips were profitable for the sixth match running, however, so on current form it seems like it's definitely wiser to bet with your head rather than your heart.

This is the breakdown on how my general football tips performed...

Chelsea V Fulham - Double Chance:
20 points on Fulham or Draw at 2.5 - WIN 50 points

Swansea V West Brom - Match Result:
20 points on West Brom at 3.0 - LOSS

Tuesday 27 November 2012

Stoke City V Newcastle United (28/11/12)

My Tips For Stoke V The Toon


Every match I give myself 100 points to place a few hypothetical bets on Newcastle and 100 points to place a few general football bets using the odds available from SkyBet.com.  I then compare how the two sets of bets perform and analyse whether it's better to bet with your heart or your head.

My general football tips are on a run of five consecutive profitable weeks and have therefore been outperforming my Newcastle tips in recent weeks.  Here are my Toon tips for our match against Stoke... 

Match Result:
30 points on Draw at 3.5
It's hard to have much confidence at the moment given our current form, but on the positive side Stoke have drawn 7 of their 13 league games this season and we've also recorded 4 draws from our 6 league away games.  Although the bookies make Stoke the odds on favourites, I'm therefore going to go for a 30 point bet on the draw.

First Half Goals:
50 points on 1 First Half Goal at 2.5
5 of our last 6 league games have seen one first half goal scored, so that would appear to be the bet to go for in this market.

Sunday 25 November 2012

Southampton V The Toon: Tips Round-Up

My Tips For Southampton V Newcastle United: Round-Up


Every match I give myself 100 points to place a few hypothetical bets on Newcastle and 100 points to place a few general football bets using the odds available from SkyBet.com.  I then compare how the two sets of bets perform and analyse whether it's better to bet with your heart or your head.

As my Newcastle tips this week were based around us getting at least a draw, or at the very least a goal, our 2-0 defeat to Southampton meant a complete wipe-out for my Newcastle tips.  I continued to do okay with my general football tips as they made a profit for the 5th week running, but that was little consolation for our current disappointing form.

This is the breakdown on how my general football tips performed...

Tottenham V West Ham - Double Chance: 
25 points on West Ham or Draw at 2.25 - LOSS

Everton V Norwich - Double Chance: 
25 points on Norwich or Draw at 2.75 - WIN 69 points

Tuesday 20 November 2012

Southampton V Newcastle United (25/11/12)

My Tips For Southampton V The Toon


Every match I give myself 100 points to place a few hypothetical bets on Newcastle and 100 points to place a few general football bets using the odds available from SkyBet.com.  I then compare how the two sets of bets perform and analyse whether it's better to bet with your heart or your head.

My general football tips are on a run of four consecutive profitable weeks and have therefore been outperforming my Newcastle tips in recent weeks, so hopefully both Newcastle and my Toon tips can get back to winning ways on Sunday against Southampton... 

Double Chance: 
40 points on Newcastle Or Draw at 1.53
Both ourselves and Southampton go into this match with only one league win from our last 7 league games and in fact the bookies actually have Southampton as slight favourites.  Southampton have been a bit of a bogey team for us in the past (we've won only once in our last five visits to St Mary's Stadium) and when you also factor in our disappointing recent form, the fact that we've yet to win away in the league this season, injuries to Cabaye, Ben Arfa and others, you have to conclude that it's best to approach this one with caution.  I'm therefore going to go for a bet in the double chance market backed up by a small bet on the draw.

Sunday 18 November 2012

The Toon V Swansea: Tips Round-Up

Newcastle United V Swansea City Round-Up

  
Every match I give myself 100 points to place a few hypothetical bets on Newcastle and 100 points to place a few general football bets using the odds available from SkyBet.com.  I then compare how the two sets of bets perform and analyse whether it's better to bet with your heart or your head.

Another disappointing result for the Toon resulted in another loss-making week for my Newcastle tips.  My general football tips made a profit for the 4th week running but that was little consolation.

This is how things turned out…

Full Time Result:
10 points on Newcastle at 1.83 - LOSS
Unfortunately we did little to justify our pre-match pricing as odds on favourites.

Both Teams To Score:
30 points on Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.73 – WIN 52 points
It was a long time coming, but a late injury time consolation goal for Demba Ba ensured that the run of games without a clean sheet continued for both teams.


Tuesday 13 November 2012

Newcastle United V Swansea City (17/11/12)

My Tips For The Toon V Swansea


Every match I give myself 100 points to place a few hypothetical bets on Newcastle and 100 points to place a few general football bets using the odds available from SkyBet.com.  I then compare how the two sets of bets perform and analyse whether it's better to bet with your heart or your head.

Last week my run of four consecutive profitable weeks came to an end for my Newcastle tips, so hopefully both myself and Newcastle will get back to winning ways against Swansea...

Full Time Result:
10 points on Newcastle at 1.83
Hopefully Swansea will play a more open game than West Ham did which will hopefully suit us a bit more, but at the same time with only one win from our last six league games and Swansea having only one defeat from their last five, it would be a mistake to bet big on a Newcastle victory.  My tips this week are therefore going to be follow a trend of cautious optimism with a degree of safety built in.

Both Teams To Score:
30 points on Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.73
Swansea have conceded in their last nine league games while we've conceded in our last six, so both teams to score looks to be a decent bet.

Monday 12 November 2012

The Toon V West Ham: Tips Round-Up

My tips for Newcastle United V West Ham: Round-Up



Every match I give myself 100 points to place a few hypothetical bets on Newcastle and 100 points to place a few general football bets using the odds available from SkyBet.com.  I then compare how the two sets of bets perform and analyse whether it's better to bet with your heart or your head.

Unfortunately, a Kevin Nolan goal for West Ham meant we suffered our third league defeat of the season, and as my tips were heavily based on us winning it meant that my run of four profitable weeks in succession with my Newcastle tips came to an end.  Respect to Nolan for not celebrating, but it’s not really much consolation and hopefully we’ll improve over the next few weeks as if we can put a bit of form together then the next five games on the fixture list all look like winnable games.

My general football tips managed to make a slim profit, as detailed below…

Chelsea V Liverpool - Full Time Result:
30 points on Chelsea at 1.91 - LOSS

Reading V Norwich - Full Time Result:
15 points on Draw at 3.4 – WIN 51 points

Tuesday 6 November 2012

Newcastle United V West Ham (11/11/12)

My Tips For The Toon V West Ham


Every match I give myself 100 points to place a few hypothetical bets on Newcastle and 100 points to place a few general football bets using the odds available from SkyBet.com.  I then compare how the two sets of bets perform and analyse whether it's better to bet with your heart or your head.

The uncertainty over team selection in Europe means that once again I'm steering clear of Thursday's Europa League match against Bruges and instead making predictions for the West Ham match on Sunday...

Full Time Result:
20 points on Newcastle at 2.0
West Ham have only managed two victories in their last seven league games (against bottom two clubs Southampton and QPR) so odds of evens for the Newcastle victory are generous enough to tempt me into a 20 point bet.

Both Teams To Score:
30 points on Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.57
Although we've scored in seven of our last eight league games, we've also conceded in each of our five previous league games, so even at odds as short as 1.57, a bet on both teams to score still looks like a decent bet.

Monday 5 November 2012

Liverpool V The Toon: Tips Round-Up

My tips for Liverpool V Newcastle United: Round-Up


Every match I give myself 100 points to place a few hypothetical bets on Newcastle and 100 points to place a few general football bets using the odds available from SkyBet.com.  I then compare how the two sets of bets perform and analyse whether it's better to bet with your heart or your head.

I’m on a bit of a roll at the moment as this was the fourth week running that my Newcastle tips made a profit.  It was also the third time in four weeks that my general football bets have made a profit, but of the two sets of tips my Newcastle bets comfortably outperformed my general football bets… 

Full Time Result:
10 points on Draw at 4.0 – WIN 40 points
Despite Liverpool having the greater share of the first half possession, at half time I would have been disappointed with a draw.  However, once we went down to ten men we were hanging on so in the end it was a very welcome point.

Double Chance:
20 points on Newcastle or Draw at 2.25 – WIN 45 points
Before Sunday’s match, Liverpool had only won one of their five home league games so far this season, and we extended that record thanks to a well taken goal from Cabaye and some resilient defending and poor Liverpool finishing in the closing stages.