Tuesday, 20 November 2012

Southampton V Newcastle United (25/11/12)

My Tips For Southampton V The Toon

Every match I give myself 100 points to place a few hypothetical bets on Newcastle and 100 points to place a few general football bets using the odds available from SkyBet.com.  I then compare how the two sets of bets perform and analyse whether it's better to bet with your heart or your head.

My general football tips are on a run of four consecutive profitable weeks and have therefore been outperforming my Newcastle tips in recent weeks, so hopefully both Newcastle and my Toon tips can get back to winning ways on Sunday against Southampton... 

Double Chance: 
40 points on Newcastle Or Draw at 1.53
Both ourselves and Southampton go into this match with only one league win from our last 7 league games and in fact the bookies actually have Southampton as slight favourites.  Southampton have been a bit of a bogey team for us in the past (we've won only once in our last five visits to St Mary's Stadium) and when you also factor in our disappointing recent form, the fact that we've yet to win away in the league this season, injuries to Cabaye, Ben Arfa and others, you have to conclude that it's best to approach this one with caution.  I'm therefore going to go for a bet in the double chance market backed up by a small bet on the draw.

Full Time Result: 
10 points on Draw at 3.4
Four draws from our five league away games suggests that the draw is the safest bet to go for in the Full Time Result market. 

Both Teams To Score:
30 points on Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.53
The result against Swansea meant that we've now conceded in our last 7 league games.  More encouragingly, Southampton have conceded in all 12 of their league games this season, so a bet on both teams to score looks to be worth a punt. 

Both Teams To Score In Second Half: 
10 points on Both Teams To Score In Second Half at 2.75 

To Score In Both Halves: 
10 points on Newcastle at 3.25
Given our recent form this would seem like an optimistic bet, but Southampton have conceded more than any other Premiership team this season with 30 goals conceded in 12 games, so I'm therefore tempted by a small bet.

My general football tips are on a run of four consecutive profitable weeks, so to see how my predictions compare, here are a few tips on some of the other games being played over the weekend... 

Tottenham V West Ham - Double Chance: 
25 points on West Ham or Draw at 2.25 

Everton V Norwich - Double Chance: 
25 points on Norwich or Draw at 2.75 

Chelsea V Man City - Full Time Result: 
20 points on Man City at 2.8 

Swansea V Liverpool - Full Time Result: 
15 points on Draw at 3.5 

Leeds V Crystal Palace - Half Time/Full Time: 
15 points on Crystal Palace/Crystal Palace at 3.75
Crystal Palace are in excellent form and go into this game with four half time/full time victories from their last five league games.  Leeds on the other hand go into this match on the back of three straight league defeats.

I'll check back after the weekend to see how my tips do. 

Disclaimer:  A small bet can make the match more exciting but gambling can be a risky business so never bet more than you can afford to lose.  The safest way to bet is with a free bet, so if you'd like the chance to claim a totally free £10 bet then sign up to SkyBet today using the banner link below:


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