Mackems V The Toon (21/10/12)

My Tips For Sunderland V Newcastle United

Every match I give myself 100 points to place a few hypothetical bets on Newcastle and 100 points to place a few general football bets using the odds available from OLBG.com.  I then compare how the two sets of bets performed and analyse whether it's better to bet with your heart or your head.  These are my predictions for this weekend...

Full Time Result:

20 points on Newcastle to win at 3.1

Sunderland have drawn four of their opening six games so far, whereas we’ve also taken three draws from seven league games, so the neutrals may be tempted once again by the draw.  The whole point of this blog though, is to see whether it’s better to bet with your heart or your head and as there’s no fun in betting on the draw I’m going to go for Newcastle to win at odds of 3.1.

Last Goalscorer:

10 points on Shola Ameobi at 8.0

Usually I would stay away from Shola in the first and last goalscorer markets, but against the mackems that’s obviously a different matter.  You would think Pardew is likely to start with Ba and Cisse, but given his track record Shola has a chance of coming on at some stage, so I’m going to bet with history in mind and go for Shola to continue his impressive goal-scoring record against the mackems with the last goal of the game.

I’m also going to go for a few small bets in several of the other markets available…

Asian Handicap:

15 points on Newcastle +0.25 at 1.77

The bookies have generously given us a 0.25 head-start in the Asian Handicap market, so odds of 1.77 seem quite generous to me.  Just to clarify, if Newcastle win the game this bet would make a 12 point profit, with a draw returning a 6 point profit.

Half Time Result:

10 points on Newcastle at 3.6

We’ve been poor starters in recent matches, but you would expect against the mackems that we should hopefully get into top gear right from the whistle.

Half With Most Goals:

15 points on tie at 3.4

Double Chance:

10 points on Newcastle or Draw at 1.55

To Keep A Clean Sheet:

10 points on Newcastle – Yes at 3.4

To Score In Both Halves:

10 points on Newcastle To Score In Both Halves at 4.0

And to see how my predictions compare, here are a few tips on some of the other games being played over the weekend...

QPR V Everton - Full Time Result:
20 points on Everton at 2.25

West Ham V Southampton - Full Time Result:
20 points on West Ham at 1.91

Sheff Wed V Leeds - Full Time Result:
20 points on Leeds at 3.2 

Crystal Palace V Millwall - Full Time Result:
20 points on Crystal Palace at 2.2

Tottenham V Chelsea - Asian Handicap:
10 points on Chelsea (+0) at 2.1

Liverpool V Reading - Double Chance:
5 points on Reading or Draw at 3.4

West Brom V Man City - Double Chance:
5 points on West Brom or Draw at 2.15

I'll check back after the weekend to see how well my tips performed.


Disclaimer:  A small bet can make a football match more exciting but the unpredicatability of the sport mean that having a large bet is just stupid.  Gambling can be a risky business so never bet more than you can afford to lose.  The safest way to bet is with points rather than pounds, so if you'd like the chance to gamble risk-free with points for the chance to win cash prizes then a website worth visiting is OLBG.com.  It's free to sign up and they offer cash prizes for the most successful punters in various sporting categories.  If you'd like to check it out then click on the link below:
Bet with points for the chance to win cash prizes at OLBG.com

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