Mackems V The Toon: Tips Round-Up

10 Men Were Almost Better than Twelve…

Every week I give myself 100 points to place a few hypothetical bets on Newcastle and then another 100 points to place a few general football bets.

Things looked to be heading for a hard fought victory on Sunday until a fluky late goal for Sunderland denied us the three points.  My Newcastle tips still managed to make a profit, though.  This is how things turned out…

Bets on Newcastle…

Full Time Result:

20 points on Newcastle to win at 3.1 - LOSS

In the early stages of the match we looked by far the better team but unfortunately Tiote’s harsh sending off changed the pattern of the game.  Even with ten men we looked for a long time like we were going to hang on for all three points and it took a fluky late goal for Sunderland to deny us the victory.

Asian Handicap:

15 points on Newcastle +0.25 at 1.77 – WIN/PUSH – 21 points

This bet was on course to return 27 points until Sunderland’s fluky late goal, but still returned 21 points thanks to the bookies poor judgement in giving us a +0.25 headstart in the Asian Handicap market.

Mackems V The Toon (21/10/12)

My Tips For Sunderland V Newcastle United

Every match I give myself 100 points to place a few hypothetical bets on Newcastle and 100 points to place a few general football bets using the odds available from OLBG.com.  I then compare how the two sets of bets performed and analyse whether it's better to bet with your heart or your head.  These are my predictions for this weekend...

Full Time Result:

20 points on Newcastle to win at 3.1

Sunderland have drawn four of their opening six games so far, whereas we’ve also taken three draws from seven league games, so the neutrals may be tempted once again by the draw.  The whole point of this blog though, is to see whether it’s better to bet with your heart or your head and as there’s no fun in betting on the draw I’m going to go for Newcastle to win at odds of 3.1.

Last Goalscorer:

10 points on Shola Ameobi at 8.0

Usually I would stay away from Shola in the first and last goalscorer markets, but against the mackems that’s obviously a different matter.  You would think Pardew is likely to start with Ba and Cisse, but given his track record Shola has a chance of coming on at some stage, so I’m going to bet with history in mind and go for Shola to continue his impressive goal-scoring record against the mackems with the last goal of the game.

I’m also going to go for a few small bets in several of the other markets available…