Sunday, 27 January 2013

Aston Villa V Newcastle United (29/01/13)

My Tips For Aston Villa V The Toon

Every match I give myself 100 points to place a few hypothetical bets on Newcastle and 100 points to place a few general football bets using the odds available from  I then compare how the two sets of bets perform and analyse whether it's better to bet with your heart or your head.

The new signings have given cause for fresh optimism for 'Le Toon', but at the same time it can sometimes take a few games for new players to settle in, so I'm going to go moderately cautious with my Toon tips this week...

Match Result:
20 points on Draw at 3.3
It's seven games since Villa last won in the league, with only two points to show from their last six league games, so Tuesday's match provides the perfect opportunity to end our own poor run of results.  Considering that both sides have had trouble winning matches recently however, I'm therefore going to cautiously go for the draw at odds of 3.3.

1st Team To Score:
20 points on Newcastle at 2.0
Despite our poor recent results, we've actually scored first in 4 of our last 6 league games.

Team Total Goals: 
20 points on Newcastle To Score Exactly 1 Goal at 2.5
We've scored exactly one goal in 5 of our last 8 league matches. 

Under/Over 2.5 Goals:
20 points on Under 2.5 goals at 1.83 
Aston Villa have managed only 1 goal from their last six home games in the league, and we've also struggled for goals since the Man U and Arsenal games, so under 2.5 goals would seem like the bet to go for in this market.

Double Chance:
20 points on Newcastle Or Draw at 1.53
Just to cover the possibility (and hope) that our new recruits might spur us on to an improvement in fortunes, I'm going to cover my bet on the draw with a bet on us in the Double Chance market.

And to compare whether it's wiser to bet with your head or your heart, here are my general football tips... 

LinkShare UK Referral ProgramNorwich V Spurs - Match Result:
30 points on Spurs at 1.8

Man United V Southampton - Match Result & Both Teams To Score:
25 points on Man United To Win and Both Team To Score at 2.38

Reading V Chelsea - Double Chance:
20 points on Reading or Draw at 2.5

Bristol City V Watford - Match Result:
25 points on Watford at 2.1

I'll check back on Thursday to see how my tips perform.

Disclaimer:  A small bet can make the match more exciting but gambling can be a risky business so never bet more than you can afford to lose.  The safest way to bet is with a free bet, so if you'd like the chance to claim a totally free £10 bet then sign up to SkyBet today using the banner link below:

Footnote: All odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

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