Newcastle United V Liverpool (27/04/13)

My Tips For The Toon V Liverpool

With four matches to go we currently have a six point cushion over third bottom Wigan (who have a game in hand), and with Villa three points below us and Stoke and the mackems level with us on points, three points against Liverpool would go a long way towards guaranteeing our Premier League status next season.

Here are my optimistic bets this week...

Toon Tips:

Match Result: 
30 points on Newcastle at 2.88
The bookies make Liverpool the slight favourites but their recent form has been average with three consecutive draws against Chelsea, Reading and West Ham.  They'll also be without Suarez who starts his ten match ban (even if Suarez decides to appeal, the automatic three match ban for violent conduct - which he's admitted - would start immediately), so it could possibly be a decent time to play Liverpool right now.  Until the mackem match our home league form was excellent, with four consecutive home wins in the league, so hopefully the derby match was just a blip.

All things considered I'm going to go for an optmistic bet on a Toon win and then back this up with a smaller more cautious bet on us in the Double Chance market.

Double Chance: 
20 points on Newcastle Or Draw at 1.53

Liverpool V The Toon: Tips Round-Up

My tips for Liverpool V Newcastle United: Round-Up

Every match I give myself 100 points to place a few hypothetical bets on Newcastle and 100 points to place a few general football bets using the odds available from SkyBet.com.  I then compare how the two sets of bets perform and analyse whether it's better to bet with your heart or your head.

I’m on a bit of a roll at the moment as this was the fourth week running that my Newcastle tips made a profit.  It was also the third time in four weeks that my general football bets have made a profit, but of the two sets of tips my Newcastle bets comfortably outperformed my general football bets… 

Full Time Result:

10 points on Draw at 4.0 – WIN 40 points

Despite Liverpool having the greater share of the first half possession, at half time I would have been disappointed with a draw.  However, once we went down to ten men we were hanging on so in the end it was a very welcome point.

Double Chance:
20 points on Newcastle or Draw at 2.25 – WIN 45 points
Before Sunday’s match, Liverpool had only won one of their five home league games so far this season, and we extended that record thanks to a well taken goal from Cabaye and some resilient defending and poor Liverpool finishing in the closing stages.

Liverpool V Newcastle United (04/11/12)

My Tips For Liverpool V The Toon

Every match I give myself 100 points to place a few hypothetical bets on Newcastle and 100 points to place a few general football bets using the odds available from SkyBet.com.  I then compare how the two sets of bets perform and analyse whether it's better to bet with your heart or your head.

Here are my predictions for the Liverpool match on Sunday...

Full Time Result:

10 points on Draw at 4.0

Despite Liverpool having only two league wins so far this season, SkyBet make them the odds on favourites at 1.57.  That means there's generous odds to be found for the draw and also for us to win.  With three away draws from our four away league games so far this season, the draw looks the safer bet at odds of 4.0.

Double Chance:
20 points on Newcastle or Draw at 2.25
Given that Liverpool have only won one of their five home league games so far this season, odds of 2.25 for us to win or draw seems like a decent bet to me.