Thursday, 18 July 2013

Who Will Leave Newcastle First?

Pardew V Kinnear

You can bet on pretty much everything nowadays and Paddy Power were recently offering a market on who will be the first to leave Newcastle United, Alan Pardew or Joe Kinnear?

A recent poll on The Mag suggested that fans think Pardew will leave the club before Kinnear and the bookies seem to agree with the odds as follows:

Alan Pardew - 1.5
Joe Kinnear - 2.5

Joe Kinnear's appointment was initially greeted with silence from Alan Pardew, and when he did eventually comment, he wasn't exactly overwhelming in his support of Kinnear with Pardew declaring himself to be 'open-minded' about the appointment.  Given that Pardew generally toes the party line, that's a pretty damning criticism of Kinnear.

Getting back to what the bookies think of it all, Stan James are currently offering odds on Alan Pardew to still be Newcastle Manager on the last day of the season:

Alan Pardew still manager - Yes:  2.0
Alan Pardew still manager - No:  1.73

Like pretty much all fans I'm hoping that Joe Kinnear's time at the club will be extremely short lived, but given that Paddy Power seem to think Kinnear will be here longer than Pardew, if you combine the two markets above, then you would have to conclude that unfortunately the bookies seem to think there's a reasonable chance of Kinnear still being here at the end of the season.

One other related market is 'Joe Kinnear to leave Newcastle by New Year's Day 2013' and up until a few days ago Paddy Power were offering odds of 3.0 for Kinnear to be gone before the new year.

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